Natural Resource Renewability, Development, and Territorial Conflict

C. Macaulay
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Abstract

ABSTRACT While previous studies of natural resources and territorial conflict have explored the role that specific resources play in conflict, few have examined the topic of natural resources more broadly and in great depth. This paper generates hypotheses regarding natural resource type, theorizing that the particular characteristic of resource renewability impacts conflict behavior over associated territory. Further, the role of economic development is considered. Utilizing the latest version of the Issue Correlates of War and Correlates of War datasets, these hypotheses are empirically tested. The results demonstrate the importance of renewability and the consistency of findings regarding resources and low-level conflict. Natural resources are found to, in general, discourage more severe forms of conflict, with important caveats. Less developed states are found to play an important role in driving more severe forms of conflict, as are disputes over sea related and oil resources. The paper concludes by outlining the implications for policymakers and scholars studying the topic of territorial conflict.
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自然资源可再生、开发与领土冲突
虽然以前关于自然资源和领土冲突的研究探讨了特定资源在冲突中所起的作用,但很少有人更广泛、更深入地研究自然资源这一主题。本文提出了关于自然资源类型的假设,认为资源可再生的特性影响了相关领土上的冲突行为。此外,还考虑了经济发展的作用。利用最新版本的战争相关问题和战争相关数据集,对这些假设进行了实证检验。结果表明了可再生性的重要性,以及关于资源和低水平冲突的研究结果的一致性。人们发现,自然资源一般不鼓励更严重形式的冲突,但有重要的警告。研究发现,欠发达国家在推动更严重形式的冲突方面发挥了重要作用,就像围绕海洋和石油资源的争端一样。本文最后概述了对研究领土冲突主题的政策制定者和学者的影响。
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