Populist Radical Right Parties and the Securitisation of Asylum Policy

H. Hirschler
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Abstract

This article examines the indirect impact of populist radical right parties on the securitisation of asylum policy. The theoretical foundation of the paper draws on classic theories of securitisation, expanding them to the field of (forced) migration and combining them with theories on indirect policy impact. In a two-step analysis, this article firstly investigates changes to asylum law in Austria and Germany from 2015 to 2016, using a policy analysis. The case studies include populist radical right parties with and without parliamentary representation. Thus, the resulting stage model also accounts for gradation of the influencing factor. In the first step of the analysis a securitisation of the policy field is revealed in both cases; however, it appears to a stronger degree in Austria. The results are then related to the strength of the populist radical right parties, operationalised as poll ratings, and to election dates to capture the behaviour of government parties under growing electoral competition. In Austria, the securitisation of asylum law could be attributed to the increasing strength of FPÖ, while the results for Germany are ambiguous. Accordingly, the results suggest that securitisation of asylum policy is more likely when populist radical right parties experience strong support from the electorate.
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民粹主义极右翼政党与庇护政策的证券化
本文考察了民粹主义极右翼政党对庇护政策证券化的间接影响。本文的理论基础借鉴了证券化的经典理论,将其扩展到(强迫)移民领域,并与间接政策影响理论相结合。在两步分析中,本文首先使用政策分析来调查2015年至2016年奥地利和德国庇护法的变化。案例研究包括有或没有议会代表的民粹主义极右翼政党。由此得出的阶段模型也考虑了影响因素的分级。在分析的第一步,政策领域的证券化在两种情况下揭示;然而,在奥地利,这种情况似乎更为严重。然后,这些结果与民粹主义极右翼政党的实力(以民调支持率的形式运作)以及选举日期(以捕捉政府政党在日益激烈的选举竞争下的行为)有关。在奥地利,庇护法的证券化可归因于FPÖ的实力日益增强,而德国的结果则不明确。因此,结果表明,当民粹主义极右翼政党获得选民的大力支持时,庇护政策证券化的可能性更大。
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