Predictors of outcome in older adults admitted with sepsis in a tertiary care center

S. Samuel, S. Viggeswarpu, B. Chacko, A. Belavendra
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Abstract

Background: Although there is increasing interest in exploring outcomes and predictors of outcomes of older adults who present with sepsis in developing countries, there is limited information from the low- and middle-income countries. Objective: This study was done to determine inhospital mortality and ascertain the factors predicting mortality among older inpatients with sepsis. Materials and Methods: This was a prospective observational study, from March 2018 to September 2019 in a tertiary care center in India. Baseline clinical, demographic, laboratory parameters and mortality were recorded from patients above the age of 60 years with a diagnosis of sepsis who were admitted to either the ward or intensive care unit (ICU). Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine predictors of inhospital mortality. Results: We found that 201 patients, predominantly male (64.6%) with a mean (standard deviation) age of 70.3 (7.8) years and a median (interquartile range) admission Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score of 5 (3–7), were admitted with sepsis. Lung infection was the most common source of sepsis (47.2%). Seventy-three patients (36.3%) required ICU admission, and inhospital mortality was 40.2%. Predictors of mortality included high Charlson Comorbidity Index (odds ratio [OR]: 1.3, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1–1.6, P = 0.08), serum albumin (OR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.20–0.80, P = 0.009), invasive mechanical ventilation (OR: 3.24, 95% CI: 1.2–8.9, P = 0.022), and the use of vasoactive agents (OR: 7.44, 95% CI: 2.8–19.9, P < 0.001). Blood culture positivity was found to have a survival benefit on Kaplan–Meier estimates. Conclusion: The mortality rate in older inpatients with sepsis was 40.2%. A high comorbidity burden, low serum albumin, and the need for invasive mechanical ventilation and vasoactive agents were independent predictors of mortality.
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三级保健中心住院的老年败血症患者预后的预测因素
背景:尽管人们对探索发展中国家出现败血症的老年人的结局和结局预测因素越来越感兴趣,但来自低收入和中等收入国家的信息有限。目的:探讨老年脓毒症住院患者的住院死亡率及预测死亡率的因素。材料和方法:这是一项前瞻性观察研究,于2018年3月至2019年9月在印度的一家三级医疗中心进行。基线临床、人口学、实验室参数和死亡率记录来自60岁以上诊断为败血症的患者,这些患者住在病房或重症监护病房(ICU)。采用Logistic回归分析确定住院死亡率的预测因素。结果:我们发现201例患者因脓毒症入院,主要为男性(64.6%),平均(标准差)年龄为70.3(7.8)岁,入院顺序器官衰竭评估评分中位数(四分位数范围)为5(3-7)。肺部感染是最常见的脓毒症来源(47.2%)。73例(36.3%)患者需要进入ICU,住院死亡率为40.2%。死亡率的预测因素包括高Charlson合病指数(比值比[OR]: 1.3, 95%可信区间[CI]: 1.1-1.6, P = 0.08)、血清白蛋白(OR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.20-0.80, P = 0.009)、有创机械通气(OR: 3.24, 95% CI: 1.2-8.9, P = 0.022)和血管活性药物的使用(OR: 7.44, 95% CI: 2.8-19.9, P < 0.001)。根据Kaplan-Meier估计,血培养阳性对生存有好处。结论:老年住院败血症患者病死率为40.2%。高合并症负担、低血清白蛋白、需要有创机械通气和血管活性药物是死亡率的独立预测因素。
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