Using Data Analytics to Forecast Violent Crime

Abstract

In this paper, we used data analytics to analyze criminal data. Prophet model, LSTM recurrent neural network model, a linear regression model, and traditional neural network model were used to predict homicide and rape in the Southeastern Cities of Memphis Tennessee, Jackson Mississippi, and New Orleans Louisiana. LSTM recurrent neural network model and traditional neural network model have smaller RMSE. Thus, LSTM recurrent neural network model and traditional neural network model performed better than the prophet and linear regression models. These promising outcomes will be significant to scholars, policymakers, and law enforcement officers.