Hybrid Genetic Algorithm and Learning Vector Quantization Modeling for Cost-Sensitive Bankruptcy Prediction

Ning Chen, B. Ribeiro, Armando Vieira, João M. M. Duarte, J. C. Neves
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

Cost-sensitive classification algorithms that enable effective prediction, where the costs of misclassification can be very different, are crucial to creditors and auditors in credit risk analysis. Learning vector quantization (LVQ) is a powerful tool to solve bankruptcy prediction problem as a classification task. The genetic algorithm (GA) is applied widely in conjunction with artificial intelligent methods. The hybridization of genetic algorithm with existing classification algorithms is well illustrated in the field of bankruptcy prediction. In this paper, a hybrid GA and LVQ approach is proposed to minimize the expected misclassified cost under the asymmetric cost preference. Experiments on real-life French private company data show the proposed approach helps to improve the predictive performance in asymmetric cost setup.
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成本敏感破产预测的混合遗传算法和学习向量量化建模
对成本敏感的分类算法在信用风险分析中对债权人和审计员至关重要,它能够实现有效的预测,而错误分类的成本可能相差很大。学习向量量化(LVQ)是解决破产预测这一分类问题的有力工具。遗传算法与人工智能方法的结合得到了广泛的应用。遗传算法与现有分类算法的融合在破产预测领域得到了很好的说明。在成本偏好不对称的情况下,提出了一种遗传算法和LVQ算法的混合方法来最小化期望错分类成本。对法国私营企业真实数据的实验表明,本文提出的方法有助于提高非对称成本设置下的预测性能。
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