The Testing of Money Neutrality in Economic Growth of Indonesia

M. Sun’an, A. Husen
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This study aim is to test the money neutrality in a narrow sense (M1) and a broad sense (M2) to the growth of output (GDP) in Indonesia, both in short term and long term. This research uses quarterly time series data at 2010 - 2016 periods. The analysis tool used is Error Correction Model (ECM). The results show that short-term money supply (M1 and M2) affect on output growth. However, in the long term, only money circulation in a broad sense (M2) affects on output growth, which also means that money is not neutral because it affects the real sector (GDP). Keywords: M1, M2, Population, Capital, and Economic Growth.
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货币中性在印尼经济增长中的检验
本研究的目的是测试货币中性在狭义(M1)和广义(M2)的产出增长(GDP)在印度尼西亚,无论是在短期和长期。本研究使用了2010 - 2016年期间的季度时间序列数据。分析工具为ECM (Error Correction Model)。结果表明,短期货币供应量(M1和M2)对产出增长有影响。然而,从长期来看,只有广义上的货币流通(M2)对产出增长有影响,这也意味着货币不是中性的,因为它影响实体部门(GDP)。关键词:M1、M2、人口、资本、经济增长
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