The South China Sea Issue

E. Kanaev
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Abstract

An elaboration on Code on Conduct of Parties in the South China is one of the hottest topics in current Asia-Pacific geopolitics. Nevertheless, this project is unlikely to be completed owing to incongruence between the main lines of contradictions over this issue and the instruments to keep them within manageable bounds. Under these circumstances, a probable failure of Code on Conduct may produce a stabilizing rather than a negative effect on the South China Sea issue.
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南海问题
制定《南海各方行为准则》是当前亚太地缘政治最热门的话题之一。然而,这个项目不大可能完成,因为在这个问题上的主要矛盾路线与将它们控制在可控制范围内的手段之间不一致。在这种情况下,“南海行为准则”的失败可能对南海问题产生稳定而非负面影响。
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