Macroeconomic and financial determinants of non-performing loans: Evidence from PIIGS

Panagiotis Magdalinos, Ioannis Tsakalos
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Abstract

The Eurozone Debt Crisis led to the outbreak of non-performing loans (NPLs). The purpose of this paper is to identify the macroeconomic and financial factors that enhanced the non-performing loans. We compare the impact of financial crisis to the following countries: Italy, Greece, Spain, Portugal, Ireland (PIIGS) and focus on specific parameters which affect the banking sector. We apply panel data analysis to highlight the relation among NPLs and specific parameters: Gross Domestic Product (GDP), unemployment rate, bank liquidity, and the real estate market. Findings confirm the negative correlation between NPLs and the GDP and the housing prices, as well as the positive one with the unemployment rate and the liquidity ratio (LDR).
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不良贷款的宏观经济和金融决定因素:来自PIIGS的证据
欧元区债务危机导致了不良贷款的爆发。本文的目的是找出导致不良贷款增加的宏观经济和金融因素。我们比较了金融危机对以下国家的影响:意大利、希腊、西班牙、葡萄牙和爱尔兰(PIIGS),并重点关注影响银行业的具体参数。我们运用面板数据分析来强调不良贷款与具体参数之间的关系:国内生产总值(GDP)、失业率、银行流动性和房地产市场。研究结果证实了不良贷款与GDP和房价呈负相关,与失业率和流动性比率(LDR)呈正相关。
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