The Effectiveness of Vaccination Against The Spread of COVID-19 with SEIR Mathematical Modeling in Gowa District

S. Side, Putri Kharina Mahathir Hulinggi, Husnul Khatimah Syam, M. Irfan, Andi Gagah Palarungi Taufik
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

The spread of disease in epidemic range, endemic range, as well as in the pandemic range that is spreading of the disease can be stopped with getting vaccinated. The vaccines that are effective and efficient can be the missile that stopped this Covid-19 pandemic. The aim of this research is to (1) know the mapping model of mathematics SEIR in distributing vaccines toward the spread of Covid-19 in Kabupaten Gowa, (2) know the analysis and model simulation of mathematics SEIR in distributing vaccine toward the spread of Covid-19 in Kabupaten Gowa, also (3) know the impact of distributing vaccine toward the spread of Covid-19 in Kabupaten Gowa. The method we used is the literature review, the collecting data obtained by an interview and documentation review. The research result discovered that the model of mathematics SEIR is used to describe the distribution of vaccines toward the spread of Covid-19 in Kabupaten Gowa. The analysis and simulation results model of mathematics SEIR showed that the higher vaccines effectiveness and the number of the population in Kabupaten Gowa that already had vaccinated is higher, then showed no more spreads of Covid-19 and the pandemic is over.
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利用SEIR数学模型研究果瓦地区预防COVID-19传播的疫苗接种效果
通过接种疫苗,可以阻止疾病在流行病范围、地方性范围以及正在传播的大流行范围内的传播。有效和高效的疫苗可以成为阻止Covid-19大流行的导弹。本研究的目的是:(1)了解Kabupaten Gowa州Covid-19传播疫苗分发中的数学SEIR映射模型,(2)了解Kabupaten Gowa州Covid-19传播疫苗分发中的数学SEIR分析和模型模拟,(3)了解Kabupaten Gowa州疫苗分发对Covid-19传播的影响。我们采用的方法是文献复习法、访谈法和文献复习法。研究结果发现,数学SEIR模型可用于描述Covid-19在Kabupaten Gowa传播的疫苗分布。数学SEIR分析和模拟结果模型显示,疫苗有效性越高,Kabupaten Gowa已接种疫苗的人数越高,则表明Covid-19不再传播,大流行已经结束。
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