Characteristics of Observed Limit Order Demand and Supply Schedules for Individual Stocks

Jung-wook Kim, Jason Lee, R. Morck
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Using complete order books from the Korea Stock Exchange for a four-year period including the 1997 Asian financial crisis, we observe (not estimate) limit order demand and supply curves for individual stocks. Both curves have demonstrably finite elasticities. These fall markedly, by about 40%, with the crisis and remain depressed long after other economic and financial variables revert to pre-crisis norms. Superimposed upon this common long-term modulation, individual stocks' supply and demand elasticities correlate negatively at high frequencies. That is, when a stock exhibits an unusually elastic demand curve, it tends simultaneously to exhibit an unusually inelastic supply curve, and vice versa. These findings have potential implications for modeling how information flows into and through stock markets, how limit order providers react or interact to information flows, how new information is capitalized into stock prices, and how financial crises alter these processes. We advance speculative hypotheses, and invite further theoretical and empirical work to explain these findings and their implications.
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观察到的个股限价订单需求和供应时间表的特征
使用韩国证券交易所包括1997年亚洲金融危机在内的四年期间的完整订单记录,我们观察(而不是估计)个股的限价订单需求和供给曲线。这两条曲线都具有明显的有限弹性。随着危机的发生,这些利率显著下降,降幅约为40%,并且在其他经济和金融变量恢复到危机前的标准后很长一段时间内仍处于低迷状态。叠加在这种共同的长期调节之上,个股的供给和需求弹性在高频率下呈负相关。也就是说,当一只股票表现出异常弹性的需求曲线时,它往往同时表现出异常无弹性的供给曲线,反之亦然。这些发现对信息如何流入和流经股票市场、限价订单供应商如何对信息流做出反应或互动、新信息如何被资本化到股票价格以及金融危机如何改变这些过程的建模具有潜在的影响。我们提出推测性假设,并邀请进一步的理论和实证工作来解释这些发现及其含义。
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