Viscometer Readings Prediction of Flat Rheology Drilling Fluids Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

Ahmed Abdelaal, S. Elkatatny, A. Ibrahim
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Abstract

Flat rheology drilling fluids are synthetic-based fluids designed to provide better drilling performance with flat rheological properties for deep water and/or cold environments. The detailed mud properties are mainly measured in laboratories and are often measured twice a day in the field. This prevents real-time mud performance optimization and negatively affects the decisions. If the real-time estimation of mud properties, which affects decision-making in time, is absent, the ROP may slow down, and serious drilling problems and severe economic losses may take place. Consequently, it is important to evaluate the mud properties while drilling to capture the dynamics of mudflow. Unlike other mud properties, mud density (MD) and Marsh funnel viscosity (MFV) are frequently measured every 15–20 minutes in the field. The objective of this study is to predict the viscometer readings at 300 and 600 RPM (R600 and R300) of the flat rheology mud in real-time using machine learning (ML) and then calculate the other rheological properties using the existing equations. The developed model using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) predicted the viscometer readings with an acceptable accuracy. The maximum average absolute percentage error (AAPE) was less than 7 % and the correlation coefficient (R) was more than 0.96 for training, testing and validation.
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基于自适应神经模糊推理系统的平面流变钻井液粘度计读数预测
平坦流变性钻井液是一种基于合成的钻井液,旨在为深水和/或寒冷环境提供更好的平坦流变性钻井性能。泥浆的详细性质主要在实验室测量,通常在现场每天测量两次。这阻碍了泥浆性能的实时优化,并对决策产生了负面影响。如果没有对影响及时决策的泥浆性质进行实时评估,则可能会导致机械钻速下降,并可能出现严重的钻井问题和严重的经济损失。因此,在钻井过程中评估泥浆的性质以捕捉泥浆流动的动态是非常重要的。与其他泥浆性质不同,泥浆密度(MD)和Marsh漏斗粘度(MFV)在现场每15-20分钟测量一次。本研究的目的是利用机器学习(ML)实时预测平板流变泥浆在300和600 RPM (R600和R300)下的粘度计读数,然后利用现有方程计算其他流变特性。该模型采用自适应神经模糊推理系统(ANFIS)预测粘度计读数具有可接受的精度。训练、测试和验证的最大平均绝对百分比误差(AAPE)小于7%,相关系数(R)大于0.96。
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