Modelling dynamic “PV Parity” in different European countries

G. Lettner, H. Auer
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

By increasing market shares and decreasing cost of photovoltaic (PV) in recent years, the future point of time of competitiveness of PV for the European energy system will be a more interesting question. The competitiveness of PV is referred to as "PV Parity", i.e. the "Levelized Cost of Electricity" (LCOE) of PV is compared according to market participants and market segment of the energy system with the traditional cost factors. Through a dynamic economic analysis of the PV system over its lifetime compared to a conventional energy system, the "PV Parity" is reached when the PVaddition of PV to the electricity supply decreases the overall price of the electricity consumed. By sensitivity analysis of the influence parameters of the LCOE of PV and developing of scenarios of future price a window of time or framework conditions for different European countries for achieving the "PV Parity" for different market participants can be determined.
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在不同的欧洲国家建立动态“光伏平价”模型
近年来,随着光伏市场份额的增加和成本的降低,光伏对欧洲能源系统的竞争力的未来时间点将是一个更有趣的问题。光伏的竞争力被称为“光伏平价”,即按照能源系统的市场参与者和细分市场,将光伏的“平准化电力成本”(LCOE)与传统成本因素进行比较。与传统能源系统相比,通过对光伏系统生命周期内的动态经济分析,当光伏加入电力供应降低了所消耗电力的总价格时,就达到了“光伏平价”。通过对光伏发电LCOE影响参数的敏感性分析和未来价格情景的发展,可以确定不同欧洲国家实现不同市场参与者的“光伏平价”的时间窗口或框架条件。
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