Agricultural Neglect and Retarded Structural Change in Sub-Saharan Africa

R. Auty, H. I. Furlonge
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Abstract

Sub-Saharan Africa has followed a singular pattern of structural change that lags global trends and traps a large proportion of the workforce in low-productivity agriculture through a process of agricultural involution. This chapter focuses on the small land-rich crop-driven economies, which comprised the vast majority of sub-Saharan countries at independence. Baldwin’s yeoman farm model suggests that the diffuse linkages of such economies are advantageous for development, but his model neglects the need for resilient institutions and sound policy, which most countries lacked. The elite in sub-Saharan Africa abused crop marketing boards to extract rents from small farmers, converting the linkages from favourably diffuse to concentrated and theft-prone. Most economies traced staple trap trajectories and experienced growth collapses that, contrary to staple trap theory, failed to motivate the elite to promote diversified economic growth, with the exception of Mauritius. This chapter traces this policy failure to the prioritization of industrialization and associated persistent neglect of the potential development stimulus of agriculture.
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撒哈拉以南非洲的农业忽视和结构变化迟缓
撒哈拉以南非洲遵循了一种独特的结构变化模式,这种模式落后于全球趋势,并通过农业内化过程将很大一部分劳动力困在低生产率的农业中。本章的重点是土地丰富、以作物为驱动的小型经济体,它们构成了撒哈拉以南独立时的绝大多数国家。鲍德温的自耕农农场模型表明,这些经济体之间的分散联系有利于发展,但他的模型忽略了对弹性制度和健全政策的需求,而这正是大多数国家所缺乏的。撒哈拉以南非洲的精英阶层滥用作物营销委员会,从小农那里榨取租金,将有利于分散的联系转变为集中的、容易发生盗窃的联系。除毛里求斯外,大多数经济体都遵循着主食陷阱的轨迹,并经历了与主食陷阱理论相反的增长崩溃,未能激励精英推动多样化的经济增长。本章将这一政策失败归因于工业化的优先次序和对农业潜在发展刺激的持续忽视。
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