The Impact of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) on ASEAN Trade Flow

Iwan Hermawan, Eka Budiyanti, Edmira Rivani
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Information and communications technology (ICT) would drive the acceleration of digitalization era, including dynamics of trade flow among ASEAN countries, both in low or high-tech also. Basically each country has different resources, and so why many factors must be known to be a winner. This aim of study was to analyze the impact of ICT existence on ASEAN trade flows. Panel data for 10 ASEAN countries for a period from 2012 to 2016 was employed to construct Gravity Model. To estimate that model, we applied Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML). All data came from World Bank, WITS, CEPII, IMF, and ITU. The result showed that ICT has significantly positive impacts on both trade flow ASEAN market. If we elaborated in detail, according to (a) the sector, ICT in trade of hi-tech commodities was more attractive effort than low-tech commodities and (b) the existence, the adult literacy rate as ICT skills was more dominant factor influenced in trade flow among ASEAN countries compare ICT access and usage. Some policy recommendations were how to develop workers' skills, mitigation issue on digital economy, and develop domestic ICT industry. Keywords— ICT, ASEAN, trade, gravity model
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信息通信技术(ICT)对东盟贸易流动的影响
信息和通信技术(ICT)将推动数字化时代的加速,包括东盟国家之间的贸易流动动态,无论是低技术还是高技术。基本上每个国家都有不同的资源,所以为什么要知道很多因素才能成为赢家。这项研究的目的是分析信息通信技术的存在对东盟贸易流量的影响。采用2012 - 2016年10个东盟国家的面板数据构建重力模型。为了估计该模型,我们应用了泊松伪极大似然(PPML)。所有数据来自世界银行、WITS、CEPII、IMF和ITU。结果表明,信息通信技术对东盟市场的贸易流量都有显著的正向影响。如果我们详细阐述,根据(a)部门,信息通信技术在高科技商品贸易中比低技术商品更具吸引力,(b)存在,成人识字率,因为信息通信技术技能在东盟国家之间的贸易流动中是更主要的影响因素,比较信息通信技术的获取和使用。一些政策建议是如何发展工人技能、缓解数字经济问题和发展国内信息通信技术产业。关键词:ICT,东盟,贸易,重力模型
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