PENGARUH JANUARY EFFECT TERHADAP ABNORMAL RETURN SAHAM INDEKS LQ-45 YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA TAHUN 2018-2019

T. O. Lenggono
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Abstract

This study aims to examine the effect of the January Effect on Abnormal Return on the LQ-45 Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2018-2019. The January Effect is an anomalous condition when in January stock prices generally experienced a significant increase. The January Effect was first observed around 1942 by a banker named Sidney B. Wachtel. He noted that since 1925, there has been an increase in share prices in January, especially for small cap stocks. Abnormal return is the difference between actual return and expected return. Abnormal return or abnormal return is the acquisition of profits from the shares obtained. This research is a quantitative research. The population of this study is the LQ-45 Index which is listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2018-2019. The sampling technique used was purposive sampling and research data were obtained as many as 34 companies from a total of 45 companies. The data analysis method used is simple linear regression. The results of this study indicate that the January Effect has a negative effect on Abnormal Return. Investors are expected to be even more careful in investing by clearly analyzing the issues related to the January Effect.  
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本研究旨在检验2018-2019年1月异常收益效应对印尼证券交易所LQ-45指数的影响。1月效应是指1月份股票价格普遍大幅上涨的反常现象。1月效应最早是在1942年左右由一位名叫西德尼·b·瓦赫特尔的银行家发现的。他指出,自1925年以来,股价一直在1月份上涨,尤其是小盘股。异常收益是指实际收益与预期收益之间的差额。非正常收益或者非正常收益是指从所取得的股份中获取利润。本研究为定量研究。本研究的对象是2018-2019年在印度尼西亚证券交易所上市的LQ-45指数。采用的抽样方法是有目的抽样,从45家公司中获得了34家公司的研究数据。使用的数据分析方法是简单的线性回归。本研究结果表明,一月效应对异常收益有负向影响。因此,投资者们应该仔细分析“1月效应”的相关问题,慎重进行投资。
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