Life prediction model of lithium-ion batteries in the early-cycle stage based on convolutional long short-term memory with attention mechanism

Chen Zhang, Lifeng Wu
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Abstract

Accurately predicting the battery cycle life of lithium-ion batteries in the early-cycle stage can provide a basis for long-term planning, bring economic benefits and avoid safety risks. However, it is very difficult to accurately predict the cycle life due to the weak degradation of battery performance in the early cycle stage. In this paper, an early stage prediction model of lithium-ion battery based on convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) with attention mechanism is proposed, which is called ConvLSTM-Attention model. ConvLSTM can not only extract the characteristics of single cycle information, but also mine the temporal relationship among each cycle data. For the features extracted by ConvLSTM, the attention mechanism is added, so that the model can pay attention to the important features and thus improve the prediction accuracy of the model. Experiments show that the model can predict the battery cycle life only by using the information of the first 10 cycles of the battery, and the model can predict whether the battery belongs to high-lifetime or low-lifetime only by using the information of the first 5 cycles of the battery. Comparison with other early prediction models show that the proposed model can achieve better prediction results by using less cycle data.
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基于卷积长短期记忆和注意机制的锂离子电池周期前期寿命预测模型
准确预测锂离子电池循环初期的电池循环寿命,可以为长期规划提供依据,带来经济效益,避免安全风险。然而,由于电池在循环初期性能下降较弱,因此很难准确预测电池的循环寿命。本文提出了一种基于卷积长短期记忆(convolutional long - short- memory, ConvLSTM)和注意机制的锂离子电池早期预测模型,称为ConvLSTM- attention模型。ConvLSTM不仅可以提取单周期信息的特征,还可以挖掘各周期数据之间的时间关系。对于ConvLSTM提取的特征,加入了注意机制,使模型能够注意到重要的特征,从而提高模型的预测精度。实验表明,该模型仅能利用电池前10次循环的信息来预测电池的循环寿命,仅能利用电池前5次循环的信息来预测电池是属于高寿命还是低寿命。与其他早期预测模型的比较表明,该模型使用更少的周期数据可以获得更好的预测结果。
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