Assistance to Palliative Pediatric Patients: Simulation Model

G. Romanin-Jacur, Giorgia Mondin, A. Liguori, F. Menegazzo
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Pediatric Palliative Cares are an approach which improves patients' and their families' life quality in front of the problem connected with life-threatening and life-limiting diseases. The two current assistance types are Home Integrated Assistance and Hospice, while acute hospital places, in competition against ordinary patients, are required in case of more severe disease phases or lack of alternative possibilities. A stochastic model, describing pediatric palliative assistance behavior and its use by patients, has been built, in order to evidence critical points and possible deficiencies in the assistance network, to suggest remedial work and evaluate consequent effects. Different policies in addressing patients to various assistance types have been examined. The model has been simulated by tool Arena and experimentally applied to Veneto Region in Italy. The results report, for every adopted policy and different resource dimensioning: a) the average number of rejected ordinary patients and respectively palliative patients trying to enter hospital departments, b) the average number of rejected palliative patients trying to enter hospice and respectively home integrated assistance. The scope lays in finding achievable policies reducing total costs.
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协助姑息儿科患者:模拟模型
儿童姑息治疗是在危及生命和限制生命的疾病面前改善患者及其家属生活质量的一种方法。目前的两种援助类型是家庭综合援助和临终关怀,而在疾病阶段较严重或没有其他选择的情况下,需要紧急医院床位,与普通病人竞争。建立了一个描述儿童姑息援助行为及其患者使用情况的随机模型,以证明援助网络中的关键点和可能存在的不足,从而建议补救工作并评估后续效果。研究了针对不同援助类型的病人的不同政策。利用Arena工具对模型进行了数值模拟,并在意大利威尼托地区进行了实验应用。结果报告,对于每一项政策和不同的资源维度:a)被拒绝的普通患者和分别试图进入医院科室的姑息治疗患者的平均人数,b)被拒绝的姑息治疗患者分别试图进入安宁疗护和家庭综合援助的平均人数。其范围在于寻找可实现的降低总成本的政策。
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