INFORMATION AND LOGICAL COMPONENT OF SCENARIO SIMULATION

S. Savushkin, V. Borodin, V. Tsyganov
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Abstract

This article discusses the possibilities of developing a scenario modeling technology based on an expandable knowledge base, including formulas, indicators, models, calculations, scenari-os, and an information base of indicators. The technology supports a hierarchical structure of models and scenarios. A unified template for the formation of algorithms for the operation of computational programs is presented. The efficiency of this technology is confirmed by soft-ware implementation in the form of a maquette of the system, which has been tested on the calculations of scenarios for the development of the transport complex in the diversified structure of the country's economy.
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本文讨论了基于可扩展知识库(包括公式、指标、模型、计算、场景-o和指标信息库)开发场景建模技术的可能性。该技术支持模型和场景的分层结构。提出了一种统一的模板,用于形成计算程序运行的算法。该技术的效率通过软件实现以系统模型的形式得到证实,该系统已在该国经济多元化结构中运输综合体发展情景的计算中进行了测试。
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