SEISMIC RISK IN THE DISTRICT/MUNICIPALITY OF DURRËS

M. Baballëku, Klajdi Shaholli, Rikard Luka, Genti Qirjazi, Renti Haziraj
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Abstract

After the seismic events of 2019, one of the first difficulties encountered was finding and focusing attention on the most damaged areas. It is understood that the aid of the affected population was forthcoming, but the impact of the panic and the overall chaotic circumstances left little opportunity to focus proper attention on the areas with greater damage. A document with analysis, findings and conclusions that showed in advance the areas with the highest risk and their treatment in the territory was missing. By trying to evaluate every clarifying and helpful element in damage assessment even in disaster situations, the consequences that occurred, their analysis and interpretation take on significant importance in risk assessment. This paper is focused at two main topics: 1-) Through the assessment of the seismic risk and all its affecting factors (hazard, exposure and vulnerability) to compare the results of the assessment with the results obtained based on the preliminary assessments carried out after the earthquake of 26 November and presented in the PDNA document; 2-) To establish a procedure which can be used for risk assessment on a similar scale for other municipalities/districts of the country. This paper will not only highlight the strong and weak points for the territory of Durrës, but will give useful instructions in using the proposed methodology in other territories, without waiting for the next seismic event with possible damaging consequences.
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durrËs地区/直辖市的地震风险
在2019年的地震事件之后,遇到的第一个困难是找到并关注受灾最严重的地区。据了解,受影响人口的援助即将到来,但恐慌的影响和整体混乱的情况使很少有机会将适当的注意力集中在受损更大的地区。缺少一份载有分析、调查结果和结论的文件,该文件事先显示了该领土内风险最高的地区及其治疗情况。通过试图评估损害评估中的每一个澄清和有用的因素,甚至在灾害情况下,所发生的后果,它们的分析和解释在风险评估中具有重要意义。本文主要围绕两个主题展开:1)通过对地震风险及其所有影响因素(危害、暴露和易损性)的评估,将评估结果与11月26日地震后PDNA文件中提出的初步评估结果进行比较;2-)建立一个程序,可用于对该国其他市/区进行类似规模的风险评估。本文不仅将突出Durrës地区的优缺点,而且将提供在其他地区使用拟议方法的有用说明,而无需等待下一次可能造成破坏性后果的地震事件。
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