Air Quality Index Prediction Based on a Long Short-Term Memory Artificial Neural Network Model

Chen Wang Chen Wang, Bingchun Liu Chen Wang, Jiali Chen Bingchun Liu, Xiaogang Yu Jiali Chen
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Abstract

Air pollution has become one of the important challenges restricting the sustainable development of cities. Therefore, it is of great significance to achieve accurate prediction of Air Quality Index (AQI). Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) is a deep learning method suitable for learning time series data. Considering its superiority in processing time series data, this study established an LSTM forecasting model suitable for air quality index forecasting. First, we focus on optimizing the feature metrics of the model input through Information Gain (IG). Second, the prediction results of the LSTM model are compared with other machine learning models. At the same time the time step aspect of the LSTM model is used with selective experiments to ensure that model validation works properly. The results show that compared with other machine learning models, the LSTM model constructed in this paper is more suitable for the prediction of air quality index.  
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基于长短期记忆人工神经网络模型的空气质量指数预测
大气污染已成为制约城市可持续发展的重要挑战之一。因此,实现空气质量指数(AQI)的准确预测具有重要意义。长短期记忆(LSTM)是一种适合学习时间序列数据的深度学习方法。考虑到LSTM在处理时间序列数据方面的优势,本研究建立了适合于空气质量指数预测的LSTM预测模型。首先,我们专注于通过信息增益(Information Gain, IG)优化模型输入的特征度量。其次,将LSTM模型的预测结果与其他机器学习模型进行比较。同时对LSTM模型的时间步长方面进行了选择性实验,以确保模型验证工作正常进行。结果表明,与其他机器学习模型相比,本文构建的LSTM模型更适合于空气质量指数的预测。
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