Assessing Time-Series Versus Cross-Sectional Influences in Panel Estimates: International Financial Architecture and Expected Equity Premia

R. Aggarwal, John W. Goodell
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In the study of economic and financial panel data it is often important to differentiate between time-series and cross-sectional effects. We present two estimation procedures that can do so and illustrate their application by examining international variations in expected equity premia and financial architecture where a number of variables vary across time but not cross-sectionally while other variables vary cross-sectionally but not across time. Using two different estimation procedures we find a preference for market financing to be negatively associated with the size of expected premia. However, we also find that U.S. corporate bond spreads negatively determine financial architecture according to the first procedure but not according to the second estimation as U.S. Corporate bond spreads change value each year but have the same value across countries. Similarly some measures that change across countries but do not change across time, such as cultural dimensions as well as the an index of measures against self dealing, are significant determinants of financial architecture according second estimation but not according to the first estimation. Our results show that using these two estimation procedures together can assess time-series versus cross-sectional variations in panel data. This research should be of considerable interest to empirical researchers.
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评估小组估计中的时间序列与横断面影响:国际金融架构和预期股权溢价
在经济和金融面板数据的研究中,区分时间序列效应和横截面效应往往是很重要的。我们提出了两种可以做到这一点的估计程序,并通过检查预期股权溢价和金融架构的国际变化来说明它们的应用,其中许多变量随时间而变化,但不是横截面,而其他变量随时间而变化,但不是横截面。使用两种不同的估计程序,我们发现对市场融资的偏好与预期溢价的大小负相关。然而,我们也发现,根据第一种方法,美国公司债券利差负向决定了金融架构,而根据第二种方法,则不是,因为美国公司债券利差每年都在变化,但在不同的国家具有相同的值。同样,一些在不同国家发生变化但不随时间变化的指标,如文化维度以及防止自我交易的措施指数,根据第二次估计是金融架构的重要决定因素,但根据第一次估计则不是。我们的研究结果表明,使用这两种估计程序一起可以评估面板数据的时间序列与横截面变化。这一研究应该引起实证研究者的极大兴趣。
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