Indonesian Capital Market Reaction Toward November, 4th 2016 Demonstration in Jakarta

Bambang Widagdo, N. R. Satiti
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Abstract

This research is a case study that aims to find out whether there is empirical evidence of Indonesia capital market reaction to one of the domestic political events, namely Demonstration 4 November 2016 by using Trading Activity Volume and Abnormal Return. The population in this research are stocks that are included in LQ45 Index in Indonesia Stock Exchange, and the data used in this research is secondary data consist of daily stock price, daily stock trading volume, and daily stock price index during the previous 30 days, one day on Time, and 30 days after the event. The statistical tool used to test the hypothesis is the t-test and the Wilcoxon Signed Rank test. The result of calculation of variance analysis shows that there is a significant difference between Stock Trading Activity Volume at the time before, during and after demo 4 November 2016. Trading Stock Activity Volume increased but not significant from process before demo November 4th to process demo November 4th, but at the demo of November 4th to the condition after the demo of November 4th has increased significantly. ANOVA test results show that there is a significant difference between Abnormal Return Shares at the time before, during and after the demo of November 4th. That Abnormal Return Shares decreased significantly from the process before the demo November 4th to process demo 4 November 4th and Abnormal Return Shares When the demo of November 4th to the condition after the demo of November 4th also experienced a significant decrease.
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印尼资本市场对11月4日雅加达示威的反应
本研究是一个案例研究,旨在通过使用交易活动量和异常收益来寻找印度尼西亚资本市场对2016年11月4日国内政治事件的反应是否存在经验证据。本研究的人口是印度尼西亚证券交易所LQ45指数所包含的股票,本研究使用的数据是二级数据,包括前30天、当日和事件后30天的每日股价、每日股票交易量和每日股价指数。用于检验假设的统计工具是t检验和Wilcoxon Signed Rank检验。方差分析的计算结果表明,2016年11月4日demo之前、演示期间和演示之后的股票交易活动量存在显著差异。从11月4日演示前的流程到11月4日演示前的流程,交易股票活动量增加但不显著,但在11月4日演示前到11月4日演示后的情况,交易股票活动量有显著增加。方差分析结果显示,在11月4日演示之前、演示期间和演示之后的时间,异常收益股之间存在显著差异。从11月4日演示前的过程到11月4日演示前的过程异常收益股明显下降,而11月4日演示前的情况到11月4日演示后的情况异常收益股也出现了明显下降。
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