The Digital Patient and the Digital Neighborhood: Implications for Modeling and Simulation in Healthcare

C. D. Combs
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Abstract

Healthcare is the largest industry in the United States and in most of the developed world. This fact has not escaped recognition by the modeling and simulation community. During the past 15 years the number and variety of simulations and simulators have grown exponentially. That said, future growth will dwarf past growth. The development of human physiological models will expand to include foci ranging from the molecular to the community context. The accessibility to huge databases, the increasingly sophisticated use of machine learning and the compelling market incentives to develop healthcare applications that are both useable and useful. This keynote will explore the implications for modeling and simulation by describing two current healthcare modeling and simulation initiatives, the Digital Patient and the Digital Neighborhood, and identifying some of the central issues that must be addressed. Additionally, the implications for healthcare modeling and simulation that have arisen during the COVID pandemic will be discussed as well as the importance of novelty in planning and executing healthcare simulations.
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数字病人和数字社区:对医疗保健建模和仿真的影响
医疗保健是美国和大多数发达国家最大的行业。这一事实并没有逃过建模和仿真界的承认。在过去的15年中,模拟和模拟器的数量和种类呈指数级增长。也就是说,未来的增长将使过去的增长相形见绌。人类生理模型的发展将扩展到包括从分子到社区环境的焦点。庞大数据库的可访问性、机器学习的日益复杂使用以及开发可用和有用的医疗保健应用程序的令人信服的市场激励。本次主题演讲将通过描述两种当前的医疗建模和仿真计划(数字患者和数字社区)来探讨建模和仿真的含义,并确定一些必须解决的核心问题。此外,还将讨论COVID大流行期间对医疗保健建模和模拟的影响,以及新颖性在规划和执行医疗保健模拟中的重要性。
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