Utjecaj poplave na lokalne izbore u Metkoviću 2013. godine / Impact of Floods on Local Elections in Metković 2013.

Ivo Mišur
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Abstract

The paper will analyze the impact of the Neretva flood from 2013 on the election cycle in Metković. Since the similar research has been conducted in Germany and the Czech Republic, it will be determined the extent to which the flood affected local elections by analyzing election results in polling stations and parts of the city affected by floods with those who did not vote. negative consequences of rising Neretva water levels. Based on available data, it will also be investigated to what extent the natural disaster that struck Metković just before the 2013 elections affected voter turnout. Two hypotheses about turnout and impact on election results will be set to be tested by a chi-square test.
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本文将分析2013年涅列特瓦洪水对梅特科维奇选举周期的影响。由于在德国和捷克共和国也进行了类似的调查,因此将通过对没有参加投票的人在受洪水影响的投票站和城市部分地区的选举结果进行分析,确定洪水对地方选举的影响程度。内雷特瓦水位上升的负面影响根据现有数据,还将调查2013年大选前袭击梅特科维奇的自然灾害在多大程度上影响了选民投票率。关于投票率和对选举结果影响的两个假设将通过卡方检验进行检验。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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Prilozi, 50/2021, Sarajevo: Univerzitet u Sarajevu – Institut za historiju, 464 str. Hamdija Kreševljaković, Nekrolozi, ur. Amer Maslo. Sarajevo: O.Z. Rekultura/U.G. Videoarhiv, 2022, 275 str. Enes Dedić, Bosansko kraljevstvo i Srpska despotovina (1402-1459). Sarajevo: Univerzitet u Sarajevu – Institut za historiju, Historijske monografije, 2021, 482 str. Radina Vučetić, Nevidljivi neprijatelj, variola vera 1972. Beograd: Službeni glasnik, 2022, 299 str. Jure Ramšak, (Samo)upravljanje intelekta – društvena kritika u kasnosocijalističkoj Sloveniji. Sarajevo: Udruženje za modernu historiju / Udruga za modernu povijest, 2022, 267 str.
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