Relationship between Industrialization and Environmental pollution in Tajikistan

Takhmina Umaralieva, Guy Merlain Djakou
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Abstract

Environmental pollution is a serious issue in the majority of countries due to industrial activities. In this context, the present study aimed to investigate the relationship between industrialization and environmental pollution in Tajikistan. Explanatory variables employed included population growth, urbanization, economic growth (GDP), GDP per capita, and energy consumption. Environmental pollution was treated as the explained variable, and the study applied the Theory of Environmentally Responsible Behavior, Reasoned/Responsible Action theory, and the Environmental Citizenship Model of Human Interaction with the Environment, forming the theoretical framework for this research. A correlational research methodology was employed in this study. The results of the econometric tests revealed the following: Industrial output (resulting from industrial activities), population growth, urbanization, economic growth (GDP), and energy consumption have a positive and significant impact on the emission of greenhouse gases (environmental pollution) in Tajikistan. Conversely, GDP per capita has a negative impact on the emission of greenhouse gases (environmental pollution) in Tajikistan. Furthermore, there exists a bidirectional causality between all variables and environmental pollution (greenhouse gas emission), with the exception of GDP per capita. Based on the findings, the analysis concluded that a long-term association exists between industrialization, the alternative variables, and environmental pollution, except for GDP per capita. The study also presented several recommendations on how to promote industrial symbiosis (IS).
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塔吉克斯坦工业化与环境污染的关系
由于工业活动,环境污染在大多数国家都是一个严重的问题。在此背景下,本研究旨在调查塔吉克斯坦工业化与环境污染之间的关系。采用的解释变量包括人口增长、城市化、经济增长(GDP)、人均GDP和能源消耗。以环境污染作为被解释变量,运用环境责任行为理论、理性/责任行为理论和人与环境互动的环境公民模型,形成本研究的理论框架。本研究采用相关研究方法。计量经济学检验的结果显示:塔吉克斯坦的工业产出(来自工业活动)、人口增长、城市化、经济增长(国内生产总值)和能源消费对温室气体排放(环境污染)产生了积极和重大的影响。相反,人均国内生产总值对塔吉克斯坦的温室气体排放(环境污染)产生负面影响。此外,除人均GDP外,所有变量与环境污染(温室气体排放)之间存在双向因果关系。基于这些发现,分析得出的结论是,除了人均GDP之外,工业化、替代变量和环境污染之间存在长期关联。该研究还就如何促进工业共生(IS)提出了几点建议。
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