Export Diversification and Economic Growth in Nigeria

P. Nwosa, Fasina Oluwadamilola Tosin, Ogbuagu Matthew Ikechukwu
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引用次数: 20

Abstract

The issue of export diversification has been contentious in Nigeria due to the country’s unstable growth pattern which is majorly associated with instability in the international oil market and the poor performance of other sectors of the economy. Therefore, this study examines the link between export diversification and economic growth in Nigeria from 1962 to 2016. The study utilizes the Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique. The result of this study shows that export diversification has a positive but insignificant influence on economic growth in Nigeria. The above result implies that the oil sector still dominates the Nigerian economy while the diversification drive of the government has not been significant in other sectors of the economy. Thus, the study recommends the need for conscious economic policies that would promote the diversification of the entire non-oil sector of the economy. The study concludes that export diversification is an insignificant determinant of economic growth in Nigeria.
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尼日利亚出口多样化与经济增长
出口多样化问题在尼日利亚一直存在争议,因为该国的增长模式不稳定,这主要与国际石油市场的不稳定和其他经济部门的不佳表现有关。因此,本研究考察了1962年至2016年尼日利亚出口多样化与经济增长之间的联系。本研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)技术。本研究结果表明,出口多元化对尼日利亚经济增长有正向但不显著的影响。上述结果表明,石油部门仍然在尼日利亚经济中占主导地位,而政府在其他经济部门的多元化驱动并不显著。因此,研究报告建议有必要制订有意识的经济政策,促进整个非石油经济部门的多样化。该研究得出结论,出口多样化是尼日利亚经济增长的一个无关紧要的决定因素。
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