Analisis Determinan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia di Indonesia Tahun 1990-2021

N. Nurlina, Ahmad Ridha, A. Asnidar
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyse the determinants of the human development index in Indonesia. The variables analyzed include economic growth, government spending on education and the inflation rate. The data period is 1990-2021, with the analysis method using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. The results obtained show that economic growth and government spending have a positive and significant effect on HDI in both the long and short term, while inflation has a negative and significant effect on HDI. The theoretical implication is that there is a need for stable economic growth and increased spending on education to support an increase in people's welfare as reflected in the increase in the HDI value. In addition, the government needs to control the inflation rate more effectively.
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本研究的目的是分析印度尼西亚人类发展指数的决定因素。分析的变量包括经济增长、政府教育支出和通货膨胀率。数据期为1990-2021年,分析方法采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型。结果表明,经济增长和政府支出在长期和短期内都对HDI有显著的正向影响,而通货膨胀对HDI有显著的负向影响。其理论含义是,需要稳定的经济增长和增加教育支出,以支持人类发展指数值增加所反映的人民福利的增加。此外,政府需要更有效地控制通货膨胀率。
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