Measurement of Health, Human Capital, and Economic Welfare at The Poverty Level Influences using Heuristic Network Approach

Muliati, Irwan Gani, Emmilya Umma Aziza Gaffar, Haviluddin, A. F. O. Gaffar
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Abstract

Poverty alleviation is still a major problem for many international and developing countries. In a weak economic situation, low-income households are very vulnerable to poverty. Therefore, the study of poverty is very important for various economic development plans. Analysis of various social aspects can conclude that poverty can be a function of the diminished ability of a person to live the type of life they choose. This study chooses aspects of health, human capital, and economic well-being as latent variables which are assumed to influence poverty. The relationship between variables modeled by the structure equation through the heuristic network. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of all latent variables (also called independent variables) on poverty. This evaluation is carried out on all the final coefficients of the trained network. The results of the study have shown that the heuristic network significant enough to be used as a representation of the structural equation model. It has proven by MAPE of small enough. The results of this study also have shown that all independent variables did not interdependent. Indicator variables of health did not give any influence on poverty. This concluded that only indicator variables of human capital and economic well-being influence poverty. The results of this study have also shown that only food consumption (as one of indicator variable of economic well-being) which have a negative influence on poverty.
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用启发式网络方法衡量健康、人力资本和经济福利对贫困水平的影响
扶贫仍然是许多国际和发展中国家面临的重大问题。在经济疲软的情况下,低收入家庭非常容易陷入贫困。因此,对贫困的研究对于各种经济发展计划都是非常重要的。对社会各方面的分析可以得出这样的结论:贫困可能是一个人过自己选择的生活的能力下降的结果。本研究选择健康、人力资本和经济福利等方面作为假定影响贫困的潜在变量。通过启发式网络对结构方程的变量间关系进行建模。本研究的目的是评估所有潜在变量(也称为自变量)对贫困的影响。对训练后的网络的所有最终系数进行评估。研究结果表明,启发式网络的显著性足以作为结构方程模型的表征。它已经被MAPE证明足够小。本研究的结果也表明,所有的自变量并不相互依赖。健康指标变量对贫穷没有任何影响。结论是,只有人力资本和经济福利的指标变量影响贫困。本研究的结果还表明,只有食物消费(作为经济福利的指标变量之一)对贫困产生负面影响。
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