The Impact of Non-Performing Loans and Economic Shock on The Stability of Islamic Banking Performance as Moderating Variable in The COVID-19 Pandemic Era

Z. Zainuri, Suryaning Bawono
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Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of non-performing loans and economic shock as an intervening variable on loanable supply and loanable demand in Islamic banks which have an impact on the stability of the performance of Islamic banks in the Pandemic era. The research period is monthly with the research period from June 2019 – June 2021 using behavioral data analysis. We use secondary data from the Indonesian financial services authority. We investigated the data using linear and non-linear analysis to investigate the influence of loanable supply and loanable demand on the performance of Islamic banks in normal times or in a stable economy and the occurrence of economic shocks. From the results of our investigation, we found that non-performing loans have a significant impact on loan supply and loan demand in influencing the stability of the performance of Islamic banks in the era of the COVID-19 pandemic. Performance shocks in Islamic banks in the pandemic era are not only due to economic shocks but also due to non-performing loans from Islamic bank customers who are unable or have difficulty completing their obligations to Islamic banks.
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新冠肺炎大流行时期不良贷款和经济冲击对伊斯兰银行业绩稳定性的调节变量影响
本研究旨在确定不良贷款和经济冲击作为干预变量对伊斯兰银行可贷款供给和可贷款需求的影响,这些影响对流行病时代伊斯兰银行业绩的稳定性产生影响。研究周期为每月一次,研究周期为2019年6月至2021年6月,使用行为数据分析。我们使用了来自印尼金融服务管理局的二手数据。我们使用线性和非线性分析对数据进行了调查,以调查在正常时期或稳定经济以及发生经济冲击时,可贷款供给和可贷款需求对伊斯兰银行业绩的影响。从我们的调查结果来看,我们发现不良贷款对贷款供给和贷款需求在影响新冠肺炎大流行时代伊斯兰银行业绩稳定性方面具有显著的影响。大流行时期伊斯兰银行的业绩冲击不仅是经济冲击造成的,还包括伊斯兰银行客户无法履行或难以履行对伊斯兰银行的义务而产生的不良贷款。
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