Risk Evaluation of Power Grid Project Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process and Improved BP Neural Network

Shuguo Zhang
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Abstract

A kind of risk evaluation method based on Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and improved BP neural network is proposed in this paper. Importance degree of risk evaluation indexes is sorted by using the analytic hierarchy process and the risk evaluation index system is simplified, and then the simplified index acts as the input of improved BP neural network to evaluate the risk. This method simplifies the network model and improves the performance and calculation accuracy of the network. The risk of the power grid project is evaluated based on this method, indicating that this method is feasible and effective for the risk evaluation of the power grid project.
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基于层次分析法和改进BP神经网络的电网项目风险评估
提出了一种基于层次分析法(AHP)和改进BP神经网络的风险评价方法。采用层次分析法对风险评价指标的重要程度进行排序,并对风险评价指标体系进行简化,将简化后的指标作为改进BP神经网络的输入进行风险评价。该方法简化了网络模型,提高了网络的性能和计算精度。基于该方法对电网工程风险进行了评估,表明该方法对电网工程风险评估是可行和有效的。
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