Determinants of Export Demand Function for Malawi Tobacco

Nomore Nkhoma, Yohana James Mgale, Yunxian Yan
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Abstract

This paper examines the export demand function of Malawi tobacco using panel data from 1997 to 2019. It estimates the relationship of tobacco quantity exported with Malawi’s export price, competitor’s export price, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real effective exchange rate (REER) as well as the impact of the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC). A double log fixed effects model with driscoll- kraay standard errors as well as fixed effects model with Least Square Dummy Variables (LSDV) model was used for empirical estimation. The empirical results confirmed that there exists a significant relationship among Malawi tobacco export demand, trade partner’s real income and export price. Furthermore, REER was elastic, while own price and cross price elasticities were less than zero. The results indicated that Malawi should take advantage of the high incomes of the tobacco importing countries to enhance international market share.
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马拉维烟草出口需求函数的决定因素
本文使用1997年至2019年的面板数据检验了马拉维烟草的出口需求函数。它估计了出口烟草数量与马拉维出口价格、竞争对手出口价格、国内生产总值、实际有效汇率以及世界卫生组织《烟草控制框架公约》的影响之间的关系。采用具有driscoll- kraay标准误差的双对数固定效应模型和具有最小二乘虚拟变量(LSDV)模型的固定效应模型进行经验估计。实证结果证实,马拉维烟草出口需求与贸易伙伴的实际收入和出口价格之间存在显著的关系。REER具有弹性,而自身价格和交叉价格弹性均小于零。结果表明,马拉维应利用烟草进口国的高收入来提高国际市场份额。
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