Debt IPO Waves

Kelly Nianyun Cai, Xiaoquan Jiang, Heiwai Lee
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Abstract

We examine aggregate volume of straight debt IPOs issued by nonfinancial firms over an extended period of 1970 to 2010. We find that aggregate debt IPO activities display wave patterns. Similar to equity IPOs, both the number and total proceeds of debt IPOs vary substantially over time. We explore possible explanations for the debt IPO waves with four groups of variables - capital market conditions, investor sentiment, information asymmetry, and interest rates. Our results indicate that debt IPO volume is significantly associated with term spread, stock return volatility and interest rates, suggesting that bond market conditions and information asymmetry play significant roles in explaining time variations in debt IPO volume. However, we do not find a significant role for investor sentiment. We also document that debt IPOs and equity IPOs are mutually Granger caused, suggesting that debt IPOs and equity IPOs tend to move together.
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债务IPO浪潮
我们研究了1970年至2010年期间非金融公司发行的直接债务ipo的总量。我们发现,总债务IPO活动呈现波动模式。与股票ipo类似,随着时间的推移,债券ipo的数量和总融资额都有很大差异。我们探讨了四组变量对债务IPO浪潮的可能解释-资本市场条件,投资者情绪,信息不对称和利率。我们的研究结果表明,债务IPO数量与期限价差、股票收益波动率和利率显著相关,表明债券市场条件和信息不对称在解释债务IPO数量的时间变化方面发挥了重要作用。然而,我们没有发现投资者情绪的重要作用。我们还发现,债务ipo和股权ipo是相互格兰杰因果关系,这表明债务ipo和股权ipo倾向于同时变动。
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