Cross Ranking of Cities and Regions: Population vs. Income

R. Cerqueti, M. Ausloos
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

This paper explores the relationship between the inner economical structure of communities and their population distribution through a rank-rank analysis of official data, along statistical physics ideas within two techniques. The data is taken on Italian cities. The analysis is performed both at a global (national) and at a more local (regional) level in order to distinguish "macro" and "micro" aspects. First, the rank-size rule is found not to be a standard power law, as in many other studies, but a doubly decreasing power law. Next, the Kendall and the Spearman rank correlation coefficients which measure pair concordance and the correlation between fluctuations in two rankings, respectively, - as a correlation function does in thermodynamics, are calculated for finding rank correlation (if any) between demography and wealth. Results show non only global disparities for the whole (country) set, but also (regional) disparities, when comparing the number of cities in regions, the number of inhabitants in cities and that in regions, as well as when comparing the aggregated tax income of the cities and that of regions. Different outliers are pointed out and justified. Interestingly, two classes of cities in the country and two classes of regions in the country are found. "Common sense" social, political, and economic considerations sustain the findings. More importantly, the methods show that they allow to distinguish communities, very clearly, when specific criteria are numerically sound. A specific modeling for the findings is presented, i.e. for the doubly decreasing power law and the two phase system, based on statistics theory, e.g., urn filling. The model ideas can be expected to hold when similar rank relationship features are observed in fields. It is emphasized that the analysis makes more sense than one through a Pearson value-value correlation analysis.
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城市和地区的交叉排名:人口与收入
本文通过对官方数据的逐级分析,结合两种技术中的统计物理思想,探讨了社区内部经济结构与其人口分布之间的关系。这些数据取自意大利的城市。分析是在全球(国家)和更地方(区域)一级进行的,以便区分“宏观”和“微观”方面。首先,我们发现秩大小规则不像许多其他研究那样是一个标准的幂律,而是一个倍数递减的幂律。接下来,计算Kendall和Spearman排名相关系数,分别衡量配对一致性和两个排名波动之间的相关性-就像热力学中的相关函数一样,以发现人口和财富之间的排名相关性(如果有的话)。结果表明,在比较地区内城市数量、城市居民数量和地区居民数量以及城市和地区的总税收收入时,不仅整个(国家)集存在全球差异,而且(地区)集也存在差异。不同的异常值被指出并证明是合理的。有趣的是,这个国家有两类城市和两类地区。“常识性”的社会、政治和经济考虑支持了这些发现。更重要的是,这些方法表明,当具体标准在数字上合理时,它们可以非常清楚地区分社区。基于统计理论(如瓮填充),提出了对上述发现的具体建模,即双降幂律和两相系统。当在字段中观察到类似的等级关系特征时,可以期望模型思想成立。强调分析比通过Pearson值-值相关分析更有意义。
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