Prediction System on Electricity Consumption using Web-Based LSTM Algorithm

Fathoni Waseso Jati, Komang Jaya Bhaskara, F. Hasibuan, Budhi Irawan
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Abstract

The technology development from year to year is increasing rapidly, especially in the electronics devices such as notebooks and smartphones. With the rapid development of technology, lifestyle habits have also changed. This can lead to an increase in the use of electrical energy. In addition, the negligence of electricity users in monitoring electricity usage at the place of the electricity meter also causes an increase in electrical energy. Monitoring the electricity meter in real time can limit the user from manage their electricity efficiently. This study aims to create a web-based electrical energy usage prediction system. This system can make it easier for users to manage and reduce waste of electrical energy. In the development of this system, it begins by collecting image data of remaining electricity which are processed manually into electrical energy consumption data. Then the data is pre-processed so that the data is clean and ready to use. The clean data is carried out by the process of making a Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) model which was chosen because it can overcome Time Series and Non-Linear data types. LSTM model is designed to be able to predict the use of electrical energy. Then do the web application design as an interface on the predictive data. Based on the results of the test, the LSTM model can predict the use of electrical energy with a Loss Mean Square Error (MSE) value of 0.0071. While the results of website testing carried out with the alpha test get an accuracy of 100% and a beta test of 82.64%.
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基于web的LSTM算法的用电量预测系统
科技的发展每年都在快速增长,尤其是在笔记本电脑和智能手机等电子设备上。随着科技的快速发展,生活习惯也发生了变化。这会导致电能使用量的增加。此外,用电用户在电表处对用电情况的监控疏忽也造成了电能的增加。对电表的实时监控限制了用户对用电的有效管理。本研究旨在建立一个基于网络的电能使用预测系统。该系统可以方便用户管理,减少电能的浪费。在本系统的开发中,首先采集剩余电量的图像数据,手工处理成电能消耗数据。然后对数据进行预处理,使数据干净,可以使用。清洁数据是通过制作长短期记忆(LSTM)模型的过程进行的,选择LSTM模型是因为它可以克服时间序列和非线性数据类型。LSTM模型的设计是为了能够预测电能的使用。然后在预测数据上进行web应用程序的接口设计。根据测试结果,LSTM模型可以预测电能的使用,损失均方误差(MSE)值为0.0071。而用alpha测试进行的网站测试结果准确率为100%,beta测试准确率为82.64%。
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