Global change-human interactions: a multivariate assessment framework

R. S. Chen, M.B. Fiering
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Abstract

The authors present a basic multivariate framework for assessing the interactions between human activities and environmental processes that illustrates the range of potential nonlinearities, feedbacks, and synergisms and some of the possible analytic complexities. They suggest that as the scientific community is increasingly called on not just to diagnose specific environmental problems but also to explore policy options and other management issues, much greater emphasis will be placed on quantitative assessment of the larger question of management of the global environment. It is in this relatively unexplored arena that the authors foresee many opportunities for multidisciplinary, multivariate assessments that would undoubtedly benefit from advances in supercomputing technologies.<>
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全球变化-人类相互作用:一个多变量评估框架
作者提出了一个评估人类活动和环境过程之间相互作用的基本多元框架,说明了潜在非线性、反馈和协同作用的范围以及一些可能的分析复杂性。他们认为,由于越来越多地要求科学界不仅诊断具体的环境问题,而且还要探讨政策选择和其他管理问题,因此将更加强调对更大的全球环境管理问题进行定量评估。正是在这个相对未被探索的领域,作者预见了多学科、多变量评估的许多机会,这些机会无疑将受益于超级计算技术的进步。
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