Research on the Application of Economics Model in Network Course Design Based on Computer Data Platform

Junhao Luo, Ladon Shu
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Abstract

This paper organically combines VaR and ES models with extreme value theory on a computer data platform. This paper uses the Bootstrap method to give the confidence interval of VaR and ES estimated by the extreme value theory at a certain confidence level, and improves the confidence interval estimated by the likelihood ratio method. Finally, this paper uses the logarithmic daily rate of return of China's Shanghai Composite Index from December 19, 2006 to September 30, 2020 to conduct an empirical study to give the VaR and ES values and confidence intervals of the Shanghai Composite Index.
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基于计算机数据平台的经济学模型在网络课程设计中的应用研究
本文在计算机数据平台上将VaR和ES模型与极值理论有机地结合起来。本文采用Bootstrap方法给出了极值理论估计的VaR和ES在一定置信水平下的置信区间,并对似然比法估计的置信区间进行了改进。最后,本文利用2006年12月19日至2020年9月30日中国上证综合指数的对数日收益率进行实证研究,给出上证综合指数的VaR、ES值和置信区间。
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