Wagner versus Keynes: the causal nexus between Government Expenditures and Economic Growth: An Empirical study of Burkina Faso

Isaac Kwesi Ampah, Balázs Kotosz
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Abstract The spending patterns of governments in the world especially developing economies have changed significantly over the last several decades. The main objective of this paper is analysing the relationship between government expenditures and growth in Burkina Faso’s economy. The study focuses on testing the various versions of Wagner’s hypothesis using the Burkina Faso data between 1960-2015 by an Autoregressive-Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. Cointegration tests, the long-run parameters and causality tests found valid Keynesian and Wagnerian relationship, but results are sensitive to the variable definition; the use of relative and absolute measures, local and international currency leads to a different conclusion.
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瓦格纳与凯恩斯:政府支出与经济增长的因果关系:对布基纳法索的实证研究
在过去的几十年里,世界各国特别是发展中经济体的政府支出模式发生了重大变化。本文的主要目的是分析政府支出与布基纳法索经济增长之间的关系。该研究的重点是通过自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,利用布基纳法索1960-2015年的数据,检验瓦格纳假设的不同版本。协整检验、长期参数检验和因果关系检验均发现有效的凯恩斯和瓦格纳关系,但结果对变量定义敏感;使用相对和绝对的衡量标准、本地货币和国际货币会得出不同的结论。
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