Debris-flow monitoring for the set-up of a warning and alarm system: experiences from the pyrenees

M. Ziegler, C. A. M. D. Arenzana, J. M. Sánchez, M. Ferrer, I. Vilajosana
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Debris-flow monitoring sites provide many important inputs on their mechanics and strongly improved the understanding on this hazardous process. Monitoring data are the basis for future early warning systems (EWS) and alarm systems (AS). In this study, results from the Rebaixader monitoring are presented and evaluated for the implementation in an EWS and AS at catchment scale. The key parameters are the rainfall thresholds for the warning and the ground vibration produced by the moving debris flow for the alarm emission. At regional scale, a preliminary EWS for a test area in the Central-Eastern Pyrenees is evaluated. The EWS is based on quantitative precipitation estimates obtained from the weather radars and a simple susceptibility model, which is applied in each basin of the test area. The experiences gathered in the Pyrenees show that the knowledge on initiation and flow behaviour of debris flows has strongly advanced and facilitate the set-up of operational EWS or AS. However, there are still remaining various uncertainties (especially related to the adequate definition of thresholds), which must be evaluated and continuously eliminated.
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建立预警系统的泥石流监测:来自比利牛斯山脉的经验
泥石流监测点提供了许多重要的力学信息,极大地提高了对这一危险过程的认识。监测数据是未来预警系统(EWS)和报警系统(AS)的基础。本文介绍了Rebaixader监测的结果,并对在流域尺度上EWS和AS的实施进行了评估。预警的关键参数是降雨阈值,预警发射的关键参数是泥石流运动产生的地面振动。在区域尺度上,对比利牛斯山脉中东部试验区的初步EWS进行了评估。EWS是基于气象雷达获得的降水定量估计和一个简单的敏感性模型,该模型应用于试验区的每个流域。在比利牛斯山脉收集的经验表明,关于泥石流的起生和流动行为的知识大大促进并促进了可操作的EWS或AS的建立。但是,仍然存在各种不确定因素(特别是与阈值的适当定义有关),必须加以评价和不断消除。
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