Simulation Analysis for Risk Assessment of Explosions in a Series of Fuel Tanks

M. Savsar
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Abstract

This paper presents a risk assessment approach for the case of possible explosions in a series oftanks. Explosion occurs in a tank and spreads to the adjacent or neighboring tanks with certain probabilities.An excel simulation procedure is applied to a case problem with a series of three tanks and the level of risksinvolved is determined with possible monetary loss values. The simulation is a useful tool for riskassessment of such cases and can be applied to other related problem areas in industry.
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一系列油箱爆炸风险评估的仿真分析
本文提出了一系列储罐可能发生爆炸的风险评估方法。爆炸发生在一个储罐内,并以一定的概率向相邻储罐扩散。excel模拟程序应用于一个有三个储罐的案例问题,所涉及的风险水平由可能的货币损失值确定。该模拟是对此类案例进行风险评估的有用工具,并可应用于工业中其他相关问题领域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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