Interrupt Criteria for DP-Operated Facilities

K. E. Kaasen, H. Ludvigsen, L. Bjørheim
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Abstract

Incidents of loss of position for semi-sumersible vessels have been found to be caused by wave-drift loads. For a semi, the wave-drift loads can be significantly larger than predicted by conventional methods based on potential theory, due to viscous loads on the columns. In addition, the wave-drift load may increase due to the presence of current. A DP system will give much stronger damping than a mooring system of similar restoring stiffness. This will alter the characteristic of the vessel's low frequency motion, which will tend to be exponentially distributed. A consequence of this is that the extreme wave-driven vessel excursions will be large in comparison with the average motion. A marine operation can only be carried out provided the critical variables of response stay below given limits with a sufficiently large probability. To estimate probabilities of limit non-exceedance, simulation of 100 hours of vessel motion is carried out for a number of sea states. Weibull distributions are then fitted to the response data and further used for extreme value calculation. Although the processes of wave frequency (1st order, WF) motion and the low frequency (2nd-order, LF) wave-induced motion are totally different, Weibull distributions could successfully be fitted to the total (LF+WF) motion. The fitted Weibull distributions were close to the exponential distribution, which they should for a strongly damped vessel. From the Weibull distributions quantiles of vessel motion could be calculated for given probabilities of limit non-exceedance. Examples of how this information can be used in interrupt criteria for marine operations are given.
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dp操作设施的中断标准
半潜船失位事故已被发现是由波浪漂移载荷引起的。对于半挂车,由于柱上的粘性载荷,波漂载荷可能明显大于基于势理论的传统方法的预测。此外,由于电流的存在,波漂载荷可能会增加。DP系统将比恢复刚度相似的系泊系统提供更强的阻尼。这将改变船舶低频运动的特性,使其呈指数分布。这样做的一个后果是,与平均运动相比,由波浪驱动的船只的极端漂移将会很大。只有在反应的关键变量以足够大的概率低于给定极限的情况下,才能进行海上作业。为了估计极限不超过的概率,对若干海况进行了100小时的船舶运动模拟。然后将威布尔分布拟合到响应数据中,并进一步用于极值计算。虽然波频(一阶,WF)运动和低频(二阶,LF)波激运动的过程完全不同,但威布尔分布可以成功地拟合到总(LF+WF)运动。拟合的威布尔分布接近于指数分布,这对于一个强阻尼容器来说是应该的。根据威布尔分布,可以计算出给定的极限不超过概率下船舶运动的分位数。给出了如何将这些信息用于海上作业中断标准的示例。
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