Limitless Deficit Financing for Economic Prosperity: Where They Got the Keynes’s Deficit Spending Wrong?

S. Javed
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Abstract

The recent wave of recommendations of unlimited credit creation to finance government expenditures to achieve economic growth and prosperity seems to be grounded in misunderstanding Keynes’s countercyclical fiscal policy. Keynes’s deficit spending denotes the stimulus geared towards increasing private investment as opposed to big government spending boosting consumption. Taking Japan as a case study, I showcase that deficit financing meeting Keynesian preconditions, including a sound monetary system, well-developed financial markets, and lower/zero interest rate, may not lead to raising growth and lowering public debts as the proponents predict. I maintain that unlimited credit expansion to the public sector in consumption-based economies, which is the general case for developing countries, is most likely to generate inflation while leaving the economy’s productivity unchanged.
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经济繁荣的无限赤字融资:他们在哪里错了凯恩斯的赤字支出?
最近一波建议无限制地创造信贷,为政府支出提供资金,以实现经济增长和繁荣,这似乎是基于对凯恩斯反周期财政政策的误解。凯恩斯的赤字支出指的是旨在增加私人投资的刺激措施,而不是旨在促进消费的政府大支出。以日本为例,我展示了满足凯恩斯前提条件的赤字融资,包括健全的货币体系、发达的金融市场和低/零利率,可能不会像支持者预测的那样促进增长和降低公共债务。在以消费为基础的经济体中,对公共部门的无限制信贷扩张(这是发展中国家的普遍情况)最有可能在保持经济生产力不变的情况下产生通货膨胀。
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