Voting for Jobbik and the Front National

Alexander Svitych
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Abstract

The article explores the perceptions of socio-economic change among voters of two European neo-nationalist parties: Jobbik in Hungary and Front National in France. Building on Karl Polanyi’s ‘double-movement’ framework, it advances the argument that marketization of societies is prone to: first, generate individual- and group-level psychological experiences of nostalgia, relative deprivation, and status frustration; and relatedly, second, engender a demand for political refuge in the form of populist nationalism. To empirically substantiate my propositions, I draw on a variety of public opinion data to find the signs of these demand-driven mechanisms. Overall, I find that voters from the working and lower middle-classes, made insecure by socio-economic transformations, have resorted to the neo-nationalist solution as an alternative system of identification, and as a coping strategy. Jobbik and Front National have politicized the frame of the ‘sovereign people’ in congruence with citizens’ perceived frustrations and vulnerabilities. The analysis also suggests that disenfranchised voters are more discontent with the experience of socio-economic decline, and the feeling of betrayal by the elites, than are essentially intolerant towards minorities.
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投票给Jobbik和国民阵线
本文探讨了两个欧洲新民族主义政党选民对社会经济变化的看法:匈牙利的Jobbik和法国的国民阵线。在卡尔·波兰尼(Karl Polanyi)的“双重运动”框架的基础上,它提出了社会市场化容易产生的论点:首先,产生个人和群体层面的怀旧、相对剥夺和地位挫折的心理体验;相对而言,第二,以民粹主义民族主义的形式引发对政治避难的需求。为了从经验上证实我的主张,我利用了各种民意数据来寻找这些需求驱动机制的迹象。总的来说,我发现,由于社会经济转型而缺乏安全感的工人阶级和中下层阶级选民,已经求助于新民族主义解决方案,作为一种替代的身份认同体系和应对策略。Jobbik和国民阵线将“主权人民”的框架政治化,与公民感受到的挫败感和脆弱性相一致。分析还表明,被剥夺公民权的选民对社会经济衰退的经历和精英背叛的感觉更不满,而不是对少数群体本质上的不宽容。
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