Modeling a structure of the fuel and energy balance of a region in the context of applying the concept of sustainable development to achieve strategic indicators of regional development

Abstract

Purpose: is to study the possibilities of applying the concept of sustainable development in the fuel and energy complex of the region to achieve strategic development goals, modeling the structure of the fuel and energy balance based on the principles of sustainable regional development.Methods: the study is based on the application of the principles of sustainable development to the planning of new urban spaces, which allowed us to consider the possibilities of their implementation in the fuel and energy balance model.Results: the study of the possibilities of applying the concept of sustainable development and their impact on the fuel and energy balance is based on the example of Primorsky Krai. The essence of the fuel and energy balance as a tool for the implementation of strategic goals of the national economy is studied. The implementation of the regional development strategy and its role in the formation of the fuel and energy balance of the region are evaluated. Key initiatives for the development of the region, including the construction of new urban spaces, have been identified. Based on the data on the planned population, the need for electric and thermal energy is determined. A scenario analysis of the fuel and energy balance and risk assessment of the implementation of the developed scenarios have been carried out. The authors propose to supplement the fuel and energy balance model with indicators of the usage of secondary energy sources for the production of electric and heat energy. It is revealed that modeling the structure of consumption and production of energy sources paying attention to long-term strategies and trends in energy development contributes to forecasting the achievement of planned indicators.Сonclusions and Relevance: the expansion of the fuel and energy balance model paying attention to secondary energy sources, will allow for more accurate forecasts of the need for primary energy sources, monitor and analyze trends in the implementation of initiatives for the use of secondary energy sources, determine the economy of primary fuel and energy sources in kind, which will contribute to the implementation of the principles of sustainable development of the region's economy.