Structural Time Series Models for Business Cycle Analysis

Tommaso Proietti
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引用次数: 20

Abstract

The chapter deals with parametric models for the measurement of the business cycle in economic time series. It presents univariate methods based on parametric trend-cycle decompositions and multivariate models featuring a Phillips-type relationship between the output gap and inflation and the estimation of the gap using mixed frequency data. We finally address the issue of assessing the accuracy of the output gap estimates.
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经济周期分析的结构时间序列模型
本章讨论了在经济时间序列中测量商业周期的参数模型。它提出了基于参数趋势周期分解的单变量方法和多元模型,这些模型在产出缺口与通货膨胀之间具有菲利普斯型关系,并使用混合频率数据估计缺口。我们最后解决了评估产出缺口估计准确性的问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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