Quality Decisions Based on Time between Events Data Analysis

F. Galetto
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Abstract

Good decisions (Quality Decisions) depend on scientific analysis of data. Data are collected, generally, in two ways: 1) one sample of suitable size, 2) subsequent samples, at regular intervals of time. Often the data are considered normally distributed. This is wrong because the data must be analysed according to their distribution: Decisions are different. In several cases the data are exponentially distributed: we see how to scientifically deal with Control Charts (CC) to decide; this is opposite to what gives the T Charts that are claimed to be a good method for dealing with “rare events”: The Minitab Software (19 & 20 & 21) for “T Charts” is considered. The author will compare some methods, found in the literature with the author’s Theory RIT (Reliability Integral Theory): We will see various cases found in the literature. Classical Shewhart Control Charts and the TBE (Time Between Events) Control Charts have been considered: it appears that with RIT the future decisions will be both sounder and cheaper, for data is exponentially distributed. The novelty of the paper is in the scientific way of dealing with the Control Charts and their Control Limits, both with normally distributed data and with exponentially distributed data. In this way, a lot of wrong published papers on “Time Between Events” are to be discarded, even if their authors claim “We used Standard Statistical methods, typical in the vast literature of similar papers”. The author had to self-cite because it seems the only one that has been fighting for years for “Papers Quality”; he humbly asked the readers to inform him if some people did the same
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基于事件间隔时间数据分析的质量决策
好的决策(质量决策)依赖于对数据的科学分析。数据的收集,通常有两种方式:1)一个合适的大小的样本,2)后续的样本,在一定的时间间隔。通常数据被认为是正态分布的。这是错误的,因为必须根据数据的分布来分析数据:决策是不同的。在一些情况下,数据呈指数分布:我们看到如何科学地处理控制图(CC)来决定;这与T图被认为是处理“罕见事件”的好方法相反:考虑使用用于“T图”的Minitab软件(19 & 20 & 21)。作者将在文献中发现的一些方法与作者的理论RIT(可靠性积分理论)进行比较:我们将看到文献中发现的各种案例。经典的Shewhart控制图和TBE(事件间时间)控制图已经被考虑过了:由于数据是指数分布的,看来使用RIT,未来的决策将更加合理和便宜。本文的新颖之处在于用科学的方法处理正态分布和指数分布的控制图及其控制极限。这样一来,许多关于“事件间时间”的错误论文将被丢弃,即使它们的作者声称“我们使用的是标准统计方法,在大量类似论文的文献中是典型的”。作者不得不自我引用,因为它似乎是唯一一个为“论文质量”奋斗多年的人;他谦卑地请读者告诉他,是否有人也这样做了
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