Reliability Analysis of Mooring Lines of Floating Structures Under Corrosion and Material Degradation

Ricardo Soares Gomes Junior, P. Videiro, P. Esperança, L. Sagrilo
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper presents a procedure for reliability analysis of mooring lines of floating units for oil and gas production considering corrosion and material degradation over time. The proposed procedure is limited to the ultimate limit state (ULS) and considers mooring lines made up of chain and polyester rope segments, although the same methodology can be applied to cases with steel wire segments. The proposed procedure can also be applied for mooring lines connected to any other type of floating offshore structure. For reliability assessments, it is necessary to consider the distributions and the probabilistic aspects of the random variables involved in the process. The weakest link system is used to model the strength of a mooring line segment. Simplified time-dependent probabilistic models for chain corrosion and polyester degradation are adopted to predict the strength degradation over time. The annual failure probability for different years is estimated by approximating the degraded strength by a piecewise constant model in order to perform a time variant reliability analysis. Monte Carlo simulations are used to determine the failure probability. A study case is also presented, where annual extreme top tension is obtained from long-term statistics considering Brazilian offshore environmental conditions acting on a turret moored floating, production, storage and offloading unit (FPSO).
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腐蚀和材料降解条件下浮式结构系泊索的可靠性分析
本文提出了一种考虑腐蚀和材料随时间退化的油气浮式装置系泊索可靠性分析方法。拟议的程序仅限于极限状态(ULS),并考虑由链条和聚酯绳段组成的系泊线,尽管同样的方法可以应用于钢丝段的情况。拟议的程序也适用于连接到任何其他类型的浮式海上结构的系泊线。对于可靠性评估,有必要考虑过程中涉及的随机变量的分布和概率方面。最薄弱环节系统用于模拟系泊线段的强度。采用链腐蚀和聚酯降解的简化时间相关概率模型来预测强度随时间的退化。采用分段常数模型逼近退化强度,估计不同年份的年失效概率,进行时变可靠度分析。采用蒙特卡罗模拟确定了失效概率。本文还介绍了一个研究案例,该案例通过长期统计数据获得了巴西海上环境条件对转塔系泊浮式、生产、储存和卸载装置(FPSO)的影响。
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