Sudden Stops of International Fund Flows: Occurrence and Magnitude

Suxiao Li, J. de Haan, Bert Scholtens
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引用次数: 14

Abstract

Using data of 65 economies from January 2000 (2008) to June 2015, we examine the covariates of sudden stops in fund equity and bond flows. Our results suggest that global, contagion and domestic factors are all related to the likelihood of sudden stops. For sudden stops in equity flows, global factors play a more important role in high‐income economies. For sudden stops in bond flows, global variables are the most important covariates in emerging economies, whereas domestic variables play a more important role in high‐income economies. We also find that global and contagion factors are correlated to the magnitude of sudden stops.
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国际资金流动的突然停止:发生和程度
利用2000年1月(2008年)至2015年6月65个经济体的数据,我们检验了基金股票和债券流动突然停止的协变量。我们的研究结果表明,全球、传染和国内因素都与突然停止的可能性有关。对于资本流动的突然停止,全球因素在高收入经济体中起着更重要的作用。对于债券流动的突然停止,全球变量是新兴经济体中最重要的协变量,而国内变量在高收入经济体中发挥更重要的作用。我们还发现,全球因素和传染因素与突然停止的幅度相关。
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