Does Foreign Direct Investment Generate Long-Term Growth in Ghana?

A. Benedict, Kyei Baffour Tutu, Afenya Millicent Salase
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

In pursuant to sustainable economic growth on the ticket of FDI-led growth hypothesis, the government of Ghana has instituted a myriad of thoughtful policy reforms to help boost the economy to realize a self-sustaining economic growth. To some extent, the policies might have paid off as the country was named the highest recipient of FDI in West Africa in 2018. However, the supposed upsurge in the inflow of foreign direct investment in the country and its expected long-run spillover benefits have not been tangibly felt in the region as the economy continues to oscillate. Therefore, this study utilized two methods; the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) and the variance decomposition method (VDM) to empirically examine economic growth of Ghana as a function of foreign direct investment (FDI) whiles controlling for exchange rate, financial development, trade oppeness and employment rate. The results of the study endorses the FDI-led growth for Ghana by indicating that a positive long run causal impact flows from FDI to economic growth. The findings from the VDM test affirm the results are robust and reliable. Therefore, the study suggests that government should amplify FDI inflow via policies like incentives to draw more foreign investors directly into other sectors other than the conventional sectors gratified by foreign investors.
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外国直接投资能给加纳带来长期增长吗?
加纳政府本着以外国直接投资为导向的可持续经济增长假说,制定了无数深思熟虑的政策改革,以促进经济发展,实现经济的自我持续增长。在某种程度上,这些政策可能取得了成效,因为该国在2018年被评为西非外国直接投资最多的国家。然而,由于经济继续摇摆不定,该地区并未切实感受到外国直接投资流入该国的预期激增及其预期的长期溢出效益。因此,本研究采用了两种方法;采用自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)和方差分解方法(VDM),在控制汇率、金融发展、贸易开放程度和就业率的情况下,实证检验加纳经济增长作为外国直接投资(FDI)的函数。研究结果表明,FDI对加纳经济增长具有积极的长期因果影响,从而支持了FDI主导的加纳经济增长。VDM测试的结果证实了结果的稳健性和可靠性。因此,该研究建议政府应通过激励等政策扩大外国直接投资流入,以吸引更多外国投资者直接进入外国投资者满意的传统部门以外的其他部门。
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