{"title":"Helicopter Money: Central Banks as Spenders of Last Resort?","authors":"Hans-Jörg Naumer","doi":"10.2478/JOME-2018-0008","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"With the four big central banks – the Bank of Japan, the US Federal Reserve (the Fed), the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank (in chronological order) – either rescuing or having rescued the financial markets from crisis mode while stimulating the economy by means of quantitative easing (QE), Adair Turner has started a public debate stretching beyond the realm of academic discussion, which has gone practically unnoticed: economic stimulus programs financed by helicopter money to permanently banish the threat of deflation. With government budgets having reached their limits, central banks would become spenders of last resort. Turner’s most recent book Between Debt and the Devil – Money, Credit, and Fixing Global Finance deals with the question regarding whether central banks should receive a mandate to finance economic stimulus programs by printing money directly (helicopter money) to avoid the looming threat of deflation (Turner 2015). Government bond purchases by central banks in the context of QE have hitherto served to increase liquidity in the banking system, thereby opening the credit channel, which, in turn, was intended to act as the starting point for rising capital investment. Further, QE has, so far, only indirectly helped to finance national budgets by reducing the interest burden on public debt. In the case of this new monetary policy instrument, central banks would finance “fiscal” stimulus packages with the aid of the printing press directly (Naumer 2015). Turner attempts to explain the reasons for the financial market crises of recent decades by focusing on their origins. Moreover, he offers solutions and preventive methods to avoid such crises permanently, and, at the same time, to overcome anemic global growth. Many of his analyses are well known, but the explanations are in need of some elaboration. Certainly, Turner is right that the crises – starting with the bubble that burst at the beginning of the 1990s in Japan – were crises of excessive growth in credit, accompanied by bad investments and lax lending policies of banks, which were then amplified by new forms of finance, such as bundling of different-quality loans into subprime securities. This is just one side of the coin, however. What Turner’s observations almost ignore is monetary policy, which – starting with the Bank of Japan – flooded the markets with excessive liquidity to combat crises and was continued – or better, intensified – by the Fed and, later, by the European Central Bank with their policies of QE. Turner also Journal for Markets and Ethics/Zeitschrift für Marktwirtschaft und Ethik • 5(2) • 2017 DOI: 10.2478/jome-2018-0008","PeriodicalId":134384,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Markets and Ethics","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal for Markets and Ethics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2478/JOME-2018-0008","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
With the four big central banks – the Bank of Japan, the US Federal Reserve (the Fed), the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank (in chronological order) – either rescuing or having rescued the financial markets from crisis mode while stimulating the economy by means of quantitative easing (QE), Adair Turner has started a public debate stretching beyond the realm of academic discussion, which has gone practically unnoticed: economic stimulus programs financed by helicopter money to permanently banish the threat of deflation. With government budgets having reached their limits, central banks would become spenders of last resort. Turner’s most recent book Between Debt and the Devil – Money, Credit, and Fixing Global Finance deals with the question regarding whether central banks should receive a mandate to finance economic stimulus programs by printing money directly (helicopter money) to avoid the looming threat of deflation (Turner 2015). Government bond purchases by central banks in the context of QE have hitherto served to increase liquidity in the banking system, thereby opening the credit channel, which, in turn, was intended to act as the starting point for rising capital investment. Further, QE has, so far, only indirectly helped to finance national budgets by reducing the interest burden on public debt. In the case of this new monetary policy instrument, central banks would finance “fiscal” stimulus packages with the aid of the printing press directly (Naumer 2015). Turner attempts to explain the reasons for the financial market crises of recent decades by focusing on their origins. Moreover, he offers solutions and preventive methods to avoid such crises permanently, and, at the same time, to overcome anemic global growth. Many of his analyses are well known, but the explanations are in need of some elaboration. Certainly, Turner is right that the crises – starting with the bubble that burst at the beginning of the 1990s in Japan – were crises of excessive growth in credit, accompanied by bad investments and lax lending policies of banks, which were then amplified by new forms of finance, such as bundling of different-quality loans into subprime securities. This is just one side of the coin, however. What Turner’s observations almost ignore is monetary policy, which – starting with the Bank of Japan – flooded the markets with excessive liquidity to combat crises and was continued – or better, intensified – by the Fed and, later, by the European Central Bank with their policies of QE. Turner also Journal for Markets and Ethics/Zeitschrift für Marktwirtschaft und Ethik • 5(2) • 2017 DOI: 10.2478/jome-2018-0008
四大央行——日本央行、美联储(Fed)、英格兰银行和欧洲央行(按时间顺序)——在通过量化宽松(QE)刺激经济的同时,要么拯救金融市场,要么已经将金融市场从危机模式中拯救出来。阿代尔•特纳(Adair Turner)引发了一场超出学术讨论范围的公开辩论,这场辩论几乎没有引起人们的注意:直升机撒钱的经济刺激计划将永久消除通货紧缩的威胁。随着政府预算达到极限,央行将成为最后的支出者。特纳的最新著作《债务与魔鬼之间——货币、信贷和修复全球金融》探讨了央行是否应该接受授权,通过直接印钞(直升机撒钱)来为经济刺激计划融资,以避免迫在眉睫的通缩威胁(特纳2015)。迄今为止,各国央行在量化宽松的背景下购买政府债券,起到了增加银行体系流动性的作用,从而打开了信贷渠道,而信贷渠道反过来又被视为增加资本投资的起点。此外,到目前为止,量化宽松只是通过减少公共债务的利息负担,间接地为国家预算提供了资金。在这种新的货币政策工具的情况下,中央银行将直接在印钞机的帮助下为“财政”刺激计划提供资金(Naumer 2015)。特纳试图通过关注金融市场危机的起源来解释近几十年来金融市场危机的原因。此外,他还提供了解决方案和预防方法,以永久避免此类危机,同时克服全球增长乏力的问题。他的许多分析是众所周知的,但其解释还需要进一步阐述。当然,特纳是正确的,危机始于20世纪90年代初日本的泡沫破裂,是信贷过度增长的危机,伴随着不良投资和银行宽松的贷款政策,然后被新的金融形式放大,例如将不同质量的贷款捆绑成次级证券。然而,这只是硬币的一面。特纳的观察几乎忽略了货币政策,从日本央行开始,货币政策向市场注入了过多的流动性,以应对危机,美联储和后来的欧洲央行(ecb)继续——或者更好地说,是加强了——实施了量化宽松政策。特纳还出版了《市场与伦理学杂志》/Zeitschrift f r Marktwirtschaft und Ethik•5(2)•2017 DOI: 10.2478/ jom-2018 -0008