Asymptotic estimates for finite-time ruin probabilities in a generalized dependent bidimensional risk model with CMC simulations

Xinru Ji, Bingjie Wang, Jigao Yan, Dongya Cheng
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Abstract

This paper studies ruin probabilities of a generalized bidimensional risk model with dependent and heavy-tailed claims and additional net loss processes. When the claim sizes have long-tailed and dominated-varying-tailed distributions, precise asymptotic formulae for two kinds of finite-time ruin probabilities are derived, where the two claim-number processes from different lines of business are almost arbitrarily dependent. Under some extra conditions on the independence relation of claim inter-arrival times, the class of the claim-size distributions is extended to the subexponential distribution class. In order to verify the accuracy of the obtained theoretical result, a simulation study is performed via the crude Monte Carlo method.
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广义相关二维风险模型有限时间破产概率的渐近估计
本文研究了一类具有依赖重尾索赔和附加净损失过程的广义二维风险模型的破产概率。当索赔规模具有长尾和显性变尾分布时,导出了两种有限时间破产概率的精确渐近公式,其中来自不同业务线的两种索赔数量过程几乎是任意依赖的。在索赔间隔到达时间独立关系的一些附加条件下,将索赔规模分布类推广到次指数分布类。为了验证所得理论结果的准确性,采用原始蒙特卡罗方法进行了仿真研究。
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